Gallup tracking poll for January 2012
Last month, the opinion polls showed a surge for Newt Gingrich after Herman Cain suspended his campaign. Gingrich celebrated by doing what he does best, spouting half-baked ideas whose flaws are apparent to any sensible person inside of ten seconds or so. The most egregious was his idea about arresting "radical" judges, completely oblivious to the obvious fact that Democrats might consider some conservative decisions like Citizens United "radical" and decide to arrest a few Supreme Court members. Moreover, arresting the people at the top of the judicial system means their fate will be decided by people... in the judicial system.
Seriously, it takes about ten seconds to think of these things.
So, running his mouth, Gingrich fell back. The people of Iowa fell in love with Rick Santorum and anointed him the Not Romney, but New Hampshire put the two Not Romneys at the back of the pack, well behind Ron Paul and Jon Huntsman, who both trailed Romney by over 20 percentage points.
Then came South Carolina. Much bigger than Iowa or New Hampshire, but a whole lot redder. A super PAC favoring Gingrich nailed Romney's Bain Capital as a job killer and the Republican echo chamber went mad with cries of class warfare. Gingrich had to walk back the attack, though technically it didn't come from him. Still, it was enough to wound Romney big time and the bleeding hasn't stopped.
As of today, January 24, the polls now put Gingrich back as the front runner. Republican voters are not interested in hearing about his many flaws, though the number of people on the right who hate Gingrich are legion.
Rasmussen asked voters across the spectrum about Obama vs. Romney and Obama vs. Gingrich. Obama leads Romney 46% to 43%, while Obama creams Gingrich 49% to 40%. During January, there have been a couple polls where Romney was ahead of Obama and another where they tied. Gingrich's best showing is losing by 7%.
Republican voters have lost their damn minds. It's not all their fault. Given such a weak field, the questions about electability become academic. They want someone as angry as they are and in this field, Newt Gingrich is the closest they are going to get. They think Gingrich will win the debates against Obama the way he's been beating the Republicans at the debates. Little do they know that when the audience isn't all "mouth breathing paste eaters" as my blog buddy Tengrain puts it, many of the big applause lines Newt has are going to be booed.
I honestly think that if the people of the United States get a steady diet of Newton Leroy Gingrich for a year, there is a significant chance he will lose in Georgia.
I'm sure if any right-winger stumbles upon this, he or she will think I'm just some Communist who's been drinking the Kool-Aid and dismiss my argument.
I can't stop them. There's not much you can do to dissuade crazy people.