This blog is still alive, just in semi-hibernation.
When I want to write something longer than a tweet about something other than math or sci-fi, here is where I'll write it.
Monday, October 22, 2012
Today's EV situation as of 4:00 PM PT.
States that matter today.
OH 59.3% Obama
NH 54.5% Obama
VA 59.9% Romney
FL 60.0% Romney
Romney needs to sweep these. Obama needs any one of them to win.
If Romney sweeps the four main battleground states, Obama's best option is to win NC, about a 25.1% chance if election held today.
If Obama wins just OH, Romney's best chance is to make combinations of the following states that add up to 20 EV
IA 38.2% 6 EV
CO 24.1% 9 EV
WI 20% 10 EVNV 16.5% 6 EV
If Obama wins NH but loses OH, VA and FL, any one of the plan B states can win for Romney.