Monday, November 5, 2012
Sunday numbers, 11/4, the final countdown:
The Senate Races
Here is an almost final snapshot of the Senate races. An Asterisk next to a race means a seat changing hands
MS NE TN TX UT WY
ND * 0.5957
MA * 0.6789
CA DE HI MD MI MN NJ NY RI VT WA WV
The unmentioned state in this list is Maine, where independent Angus King looks solid to take a seat away from the Republicans with Olympia Snowe's retirement. If these races go according to form, the Democratic caucus could pick up three seats and possibly four if King decides to join them, which is likely but not yet set in stone.
I'll come back to this on Thursday to see how the Confidence of Victory numbers did in terms of prediction.